Arizona State
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 85.3968Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6- 3, 81.7) 11-12 215 H Denver Big East ( 7- 1, 92.3) 7-14 221 H Lindenwood Atlantic Sun ( 3- 5, 75.6) 23- 9 224 H Marquette Big East ( 5- 3, 83.9) 19-16 228 H Southern California Big Ten ( 6- 4, 85.1) 14-16 305 H Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 1- 7, 77.1) 17- 7 308 H Bucknell Patriot ( 4- 3, 84.0) 19-12 311 H Akron MAC ( 6- 2, 77.3) 14- 8 314 A Mercer Big South ( 3- 5, 84.5) 16-20 317 A Navy Patriot ( 9- 0, 92.7) 10-11 321 A Stanford ACC ( 9- 0, 95.9) 328 H Florida Big 12 ( 6- 2, 93.2) 404 A Cincinnati Big 12 ( 7- 4, 81.2) 411 H UC Davis Big 12 ( 5- 4, 83.7) 415 A Stony Brook Colonial ( 7- 2, 93.0) 418 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 1- 6, 78.4) 425 A Colorado Big 12 ( 5- 2, 94.1)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Oregon 11-12 -1 2 - -3.34
215 H Denver 7-14 -7 -6 -1.43
221 H Lindenwood 23- 9 14 11 + 2.90
224 H Marquette 19-16 3 3 0.16
228 H Southern California 14-16 -2 2 - -3.59
305 H Niagara 17- 7 10 10 0.42
308 H Bucknell 19-12 7 3 ++ 4.28
311 H Akron 14- 8 6 9 - -3.47
314 A Mercer 16-20 -4 0 - -3.55
317 A Navy 10-11 -1 -9 +++ 7.63
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Oregon 11-12 -1 2 - -3.34 228 H Southern California 14-16 -2 2 - -3.59 311 H Akron 14- 8 6 9 - -3.47 314 A Mercer 16-20 -4 0 - -3.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Navy 10-11 -1 -9 +++ 7.63 308 H Bucknell 19-12 7 3 ++ 4.28 221 H Lindenwood 23- 9 14 11 + 2.90 |
Arizona State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Albany | Arizona State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona State | |
| American | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Austin Peay | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Binghamton | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Boston University | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Brown | Brown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Brown | |
| Bryant | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Bucknell | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Butler | Arizona State | Arizona State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| California | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Campbell | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Canisius | Arizona State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona State | |
| Central Connecticut | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Central Michigan | Arizona State | Arizona State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cincinnati | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Clemson | Clemson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Coastal Carolina | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Colgate | Arizona State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona State | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Columbia | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Davidson | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Delaware | |
| Delaware State | Arizona State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Arizona State | Arizona State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Drexel | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| East Carolina | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Eastern Michigan | Arizona State | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Elon | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Fairfield | Arizona State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Arizona State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Florida | Florida | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Florida | |
| Florida State | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Furman | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Gardner Webb | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| George Mason | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| George Washington | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | Arizona State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Arizona State | |
| Hofstra | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Holy Cross | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Howard (DC) | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Iona | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Jacksonville | |
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | Arizona State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Kent State | Arizona State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Arizona State | |
| La Salle | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Lafayette | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Le Moyne | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Lehigh | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Liberty | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Lindenwood | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| LIU | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Longwood | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | ||
| Manhattan | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Marist | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Marquette | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Maryland | |
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Mercer | Mercer | Mercer | ||
| Mercyhurst | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Merrimack | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Monmouth (NJ) | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Mount St Marys | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| New Hampshire | Arizona State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona State | |
| New Haven | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Niagara | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Old Dominion | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn | Penn | Penn | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Presbyterian | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Quinnipiac | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Radford | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Rhode Island | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Rider | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Robert Morris | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| Sacred Heart | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| San Diego State | Arizona State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Arizona State | |
| Siena | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | South Florida | |
| Southern California | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| St Bonaventure | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Arizona State | |
| St Josephs (PA) | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stanford | |
| Stetson | Arizona State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Arizona State | |
| Stonehill | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Temple | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Towson | Arizona State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| UC Davis | Arizona State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Arizona State | |
| UMBC | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| UNC-Charlotte | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Vanderbilt | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Arizona State | |
| VCU | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Vermont | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Villanova | Villanova | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Villanova | |
| Virginia | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Virginia Tech | |
| Wagner | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| William & Mary | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Winthrop | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Wofford | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Xavier | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| Yale | Yale | Yale | ||
| Youngstown State | Arizona State | Arizona State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 88
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Oregon ( 6- 3, 81.7) 11-12 -18.18 21.61 1.33 0.83 -6.95
0 H Denver ( 7- 1, 92.3) 7-14 -7.61 32.18 -1.33 0.83 -3.69
0 H Lindenwood ( 3- 5, 75.6) 23- 9 -24.27 15.51 -1.33 0.83 23.41
0 H Marquette ( 5- 3, 83.9) 19-16 -16.01 23.77 -1.33 0.83 37.05
0 H Southern Calif ( 6- 4, 85.1) 14-16 -14.76 25.02 -1.33 0.83 -6.64
0 H Niagara ( 1- 7, 77.1) 17- 7 -22.76 17.03 -1.33 0.83 25.92
0 H Bucknell ( 4- 3, 84.0) 19-12 -15.89 23.89 -1.33 0.83 37.25
0 H Akron ( 6- 2, 77.3) 14- 8 -22.64 17.14 -1.33 0.83 26.10
0 A Mercer ( 3- 5, 84.5) 16-20 -15.38 24.40 1.33 0.83 -5.80
0 A Navy ( 9- 0, 92.7) 10-11 -7.20 32.58 1.33 0.83 -2.42
------
124.22
|
winning pts = 149.7312 losing points = -25.5089
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------